Wages in Australia continue to flatline, with
annual wage growth failing to make any real impact to living expenses and
conditions on the ground. According to the Australian Bureau of Statistics
(ABS), the wage growth index was up just 0.6% for the June quarter, which gave
it a modest increase of 2.3% for the year. Vast differences were also found
between states and industry sectors, with Victorian workers seeing the best
results and healthcare workers also coming out in front compared to the
national average.
The Australian public sector saw an
increase of 0.8% for the quarter, which outperformed the private sector with a
disappointing 0.5% increase. While national wage growth was just 2.3% for the
year, workers in the healthcare sector managed a whole percentage point higher
at 3.3%. Other industries that performed reasonably well were electricity, gas,
water and waste; arts and recreation; and public administration and housing.
Overall, however, national wage growth was flat for the year and even worse for
the quarter.
According to Bruce Hockman from the ABS,
"The most significant contribution to wage growth this quarter came from
the public sector component of the health care and social assistance industry,
where a number of large increases were recorded in Victoria under a plan to
ensure wage parity with other states." The only upside to this ongoing
lack of movement is that inflation has been even lower than wage growth.
According to Asia-Pacific economist Callam Pickering, "Adjusted for
inflation, wages rose by 0.8 per cent over the past year. For context, real
wage growth has averaged just 0.2 per cent over the past six years."
Where you live in Australia also had a huge
effect on whether or not your pay packet went up, with Victoria outperforming
the rest of the country with 2.9% growth for the year and 0.7% growth for the
quarter. NSW also experienced reasonable wages growth, in alignment with the
national average at 2.3% for the year. On an annual basis, NSW was followed by
Tasmania, Queensland, South Australia, Northern Territory, and Western
Australia. While quarterly results were mostly consistent with yearly averages,
both Tasmania and South Australia saw weak growth for the quarter despite
experiencing strong annual growth.
Wages are not the only thing that affects
living standards, however, with the entire jobs market in somewhat of a
depressed state. While the unemployment rate seems to be ticking over nicely at
5.2%, under-utilisation is much higher at 13.5% and youth unemployment is more
than twice the national rate. According to Mr Pickering, "The
under-utilisation rate needs to ease towards 12 per cent before wage growth of
3 per cent or higher is likely. That won't happen overnight nor is it likely
within the next year."
Despite these ongoing issues with jobs and
wage growth, Australian consumers remain fairly optimistic. According to the
Westpac-Melbourne Institute survey, consumer sentiment jumped almost 4% to 100
points over the month, which basically means we're sitting on the fence between
optimism and pessimism. Consumer confidence has been experiencing a long-term
decline, however, with consumer sentiment down 3.5% for the year and
expectations of economic conditions over the next 12 months down 4.8%. The only
positive sentiment surrounds the housing market, with house price expectations
up 11.2% and a 16.7% rise in people who think it's a good time to buy.